Saturday, January 07, 2006

Canada - January 8, 2006

SES Dec. 7
Con: 35.0 Lib: 32.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 10.0
Con: 127 Lib: 104 Ndp: 25 Blc: 51
Con: 124.5 Lib: 105.4 Ndp: 26.6 Blc: 50.5

SES Regional Dec. 7

Con Lib Ndp Blc
East 30.0 47.0 17.0 0.0
PQ 18.0 26.0 9.0 44.0
ON 37.0 38.0 20.0 0.0
West 47.0 26.0 20.0 0.0


Con Lib Ndp Blc Con Lib Ndp Blc Con Lib Ndp Blc
East 7 23 2 0 5.8 24.2 2.0 0.0 7 22 3 0
PQ 2 15 0 58 1.8 16.6 0.0 56.6 0 21 0 54
ON 45 47 14 0 44.7 48.6 12.7 0.0 24 75 7 0
West 71 14 10 0 67.0 16.7 11.3 0.0 68 17 9 0
All 125 99 26 58 119.3 106.1 26.0 56.6 99 135 19 54


Ipsos Dec. 7
Con: 35.0 Lib: 31.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 11.4
Con: 128 Lib: 95 Ndp: 29 Blc: 56
Con: 126.5 Lib: 95.7 Ndp: 29.6 Blc: 56.1

Ipsos says their seat projection model gives:
Con 129-133 Lib: 87-91 NDP: 27-31 Blc: 56-60
Since they have regional spilts, and didn't publish them, it is probable their model is better than mine. The results are relatively similar, except they flip about 4-5 liberal seats to the conservatives.

Ekos Dec. 5
Con: 36.0 Lib: 30.8 Ndp: 17.5 Blc: 10.6
Con: 134 Lib: 97 Ndp: 24 Blc: 53
Con: 131.6 Lib: 95.2 Ndp: 27.8 Blc: 53.4

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