Canada - December 22, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 21
Con: 30.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 15.0
Con: 107 Lib: 111 Ndp: 23 Blc: 67
Con: 102.5 Lib: 114.4 Ndp: 26.6 Blc: 64.4

Leger Dec. 21
Con: 28.0 Lib: 36.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 90 Lib: 135 Ndp: 29 Blc: 54
Con: 89.8 Lib: 135.8 Ndp: 27.6 Blc: 54.6

SES Dec. 21
Con: 29.0 Lib: 37.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 96 Lib: 142 Ndp: 18 Blc: 52
Con: 91.9 Lib: 140.5 Ndp: 21.7 Blc: 53.8

SES Regional Dec. 21

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	29.0	44.0	24.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	32.0	6.0	50.0
ON	35.0	42.0	15.0	0.0
West	39.0	35.0	20.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	22	3	0	6.4	22.7	2.9	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.1	17.0	0.0	57.9	0	21	0	54
ON	37	62	7	0	34.7	64.3	7.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	46	39	10	0	47.9	36.9	10.1	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	90	139	20	59	89.1	140.9	20.0	57.9	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 21, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 20
Con: 29.0 Lib: 33.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 15.0
Con: 101 Lib: 107 Ndp: 33 Blc: 67
Con: 100.8 Lib: 111.4 Ndp: 30.8 Blc: 64.9

SES Dec. 20
Con: 31.0 Lib: 37.0 Ndp: 14.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 104 Lib: 131 Ndp: 16 Blc: 57
Con: 99.2 Lib: 133.0 Ndp: 18.7 Blc: 57.0

SES Regional Dec. 20

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	35.0	44.0	20.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	32.0	5.0	50.0
ON	35.0	43.0	14.0	0.0
West	41.0	33.0	19.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	23	2	0	8.2	21.3	2.5	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.2	17.0	0.0	57.8	0	21	0	54
ON	31	70	5	0	32.9	67.1	5.9	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	51	34	9	0	51.8	32.5	9.6	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	89	143	16	59	93.2	137.9	18.0	57.8	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 20, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 19
Con: 29.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 19.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 97 Lib: 116 Ndp: 35 Blc: 60
Con: 96.7 Lib: 118.0 Ndp: 33.8 Blc: 59.4

SES Dec. 19
Con: 29.0 Lib: 37.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 92 Lib: 136 Ndp: 23 Blc: 57
Con: 91.2 Lib: 136.1 Ndp: 23.6 Blc: 57.1

SES Regional Dec. 19

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	28.0	47.0	24.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	32.0	6.0	51.0
ON	32.0	44.0	18.0	0.0
West	42.0	34.0	18.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	5	24	3	0	5.2	24.1	2.7	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.1	16.2	0.0	58.7	0	21	0	54
ON	26	73	7	0	25.0	72.6	8.4	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	53	34	8	0	53.6	33.5	7.8	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	84	147	18	59	84.0	146.4	18.9	58.7	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 19, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 18
Con: 29.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 19.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 97 Lib: 116 Ndp: 35 Blc: 60
Con: 96.7 Lib: 118.0 Ndp: 33.8 Blc: 59.4

Pollara Dec. 18
Con: 34.0 Lib: 37.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 10.0
Con: 108 Lib: 133 Ndp: 20 Blc: 46
Con: 107.5 Lib: 130.6 Ndp: 22.0 Blc: 46.9

SES Dec. 18
Con: 29.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 83 Lib: 154 Ndp: 19 Blc: 52
Con: 85.9 Lib: 148.7 Ndp: 21.1 Blc: 52.2

SES Regional Dec. 18

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	26.0	54.0	21.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	32.0	7.0	49.0
ON	32.0	46.0	19.0	0.0
West	42.0	32.0	19.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	27	2	0	3.0	27.2	1.8	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	18	0	57	0.2	17.8	0.0	57.0	0	21	0	54
ON	22	77	7	0	21.6	76.5	7.9	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	54	32	9	0	55.2	30.0	9.7	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	79	154	18	57	80.1	151.5	19.4	57.0	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 18, 2005

SES Dec. 17
Con: 30.0 Lib: 38.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 96 Lib: 141 Ndp: 16 Blc: 55
Con: 92.5 Lib: 139.3 Ndp: 19.9 Blc: 56.3

SES Regional Dec. 17

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	24.0	54.0	20.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	26.0	8.0	53.0
ON	33.0	44.0	18.0	0.0
West	43.0	34.0	16.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	27	2	0	2.5	27.8	1.7	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	9	0	66	0.1	10.9	0.0	64.0	0	21	0	54
ON	27	72	7	0	26.8	70.9	8.3	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	57	33	5	0	55.7	33.2	6.1	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	87	141	14	66	85.2	142.8	16.0	64.0	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 17, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 16
Con: 30.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 101 Lib: 114 Ndp: 33 Blc: 60
Con: 101.0 Lib: 116.8 Ndp: 30.8 Blc: 59.4

SES Dec. 16
Con: 31.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 14.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 96 Lib: 146 Ndp: 14 Blc: 52
Con: 93.7 Lib: 145.5 Ndp: 16.6 Blc: 52.1

SES Regional Dec. 16

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	32.0	48.0	16.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	28.0	8.0	52.0
ON	34.0	45.0	16.0	0.0
West	43.0	38.0	14.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	23	2	0	6.1	24.0	1.9	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	11	0	64	0.1	12.6	0.0	62.3	0	21	0	54
ON	27	74	5	0	27.2	72.6	6.3	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	52	40	3	0	51.5	39.6	3.9	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	86	148	10	64	84.8	148.8	12.1	62.3	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 16, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 15
Con: 30.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 102 Lib: 112 Ndp: 29 Blc: 64
Con: 100.7 Lib: 115.3 Ndp: 28.7 Blc: 62.2

SES Dec. 15
Con: 33.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 12.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 104 Lib: 140 Ndp: 11 Blc: 52
Con: 100.4 Lib: 141.6 Ndp: 13.0 Blc: 52.0

SES Regional Dec. 15

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	40.0	45.0	12.0	0.0
PQ	8.0	30.0	7.0	52.0
ON	38.0	41.0	15.0	0.0
West	44.0	40.0	13.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	9	21	2	0	10.0	20.3	1.6	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	13	0	62	0.1	14.0	0.0	60.9	0	21	0	54
ON	43	56	7	0	42.7	56.3	7.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	47	44	3	0	49.5	41.4	3.2	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	99	134	12	62	102.2	132.0	11.8	60.9	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 15, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 14
Con: 29.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 98 Lib: 114 Ndp: 31 Blc: 64
Con: 97.3 Lib: 117.9 Ndp: 29.5 Blc: 62.2

SES Dec. 14
Con: 32.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 12.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 100 Lib: 144 Ndp: 11 Blc: 52
Con: 97.0 Lib: 144.5 Ndp: 13.4 Blc: 52.1

SES Regional Dec. 14

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	40.0	45.0	11.0	0.0
PQ	6.0	31.0	8.0	51.0
ON	37.0	43.0	14.0	0.0
West	42.0	38.0	15.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	9	21	2	0	10.1	20.4	1.5	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	14	0	61	0.1	15.4	0.0	59.5	0	21	0	54
ON	38	63	5	0	37.0	63.4	5.7	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	47	44	3	0	48.9	40.5	4.5	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	94	142	10	61	96.0	139.8	11.7	59.5	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 14, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 13:
Con: 31.0 Lib: 33.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 109 Lib: 109 Ndp: 27 Blc: 62
Con: 106.8 Lib: 111.0 Ndp: 29.0 Blc: 60.1

SES Dec. 13
Con: 31.0 Lib: 38.0 Ndp: 14.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 99 Lib: 142 Ndp: 14 Blc: 52
Con: 95.6 Lib: 140.8 Ndp: 17.6 Blc: 52.9

Leger Dec. 13
Con: 29.0 Lib: 35.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 97 Lib: 127 Ndp: 29 Blc: 54
Con: 94.9 Lib: 128.4 Ndp: 28.2 Blc: 55.4

Ipsos Dec. 13
Con: 27.0 Lib: 36.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 83 Lib: 132 Ndp: 30 Blc: 62
Con: 85.3 Lib: 132.2 Ndp: 28.4 Blc: 60.9

SES Regional Dec. 13

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	39.0	48.0	11.0	0.0
PQ	8.0	30.0	8.0	52.0
ON	37.0	46.0	13.0	0.0
West	40.0	34.0	18.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	23	2	0	8.4	22.3	1.3	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	13	0	62	0.1	14.0	0.0	60.9	0	21	0	54
ON	29	73	4	0	31.4	70.6	4.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	49	36	9	0	49.8	35.5	8.5	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	85	145	15	62	89.7	142.4	13.8	60.9	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 13, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 12:
Con: 30.0 Lib: 36.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 103 Lib: 122 Ndp: 20 Blc: 62
Con: 96.2 Lib: 125.7 Ndp: 24.1 Blc: 60.9

SES Dec. 12:
Con: 30.0 Lib: 38.0 Ndp: 13.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 95 Lib: 138 Ndp: 14 Blc: 60
Con: 92.5 Lib: 138.4 Ndp: 16.6 Blc: 59.4

SES Regional Dec. 12

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	28.0	53.0	15.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	27.0	8.0	55.0
ON	36.0	48.0	12.0	0.0
West	41.0	34.0	17.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	27	2	0	3.7	27.0	1.3	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	8	0	67	0.0	10.5	0.0	64.5	0	21	0	54
ON	26	77	3	0	25.9	77.1	3.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	52	34	8	0	51.5	35.0	7.4	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	81	146	13	67	81.2	149.5	11.6	64.5	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 12, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 11:
Con: 30.0 Lib: 35.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 104 Lib: 120 Ndp: 20 Blc: 63
Con: 99.6 Lib: 122.3 Ndp: 23.4 Blc: 61.6

SES Dec. 11:
Con: 31.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 14.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 95 Lib: 144 Ndp: 14 Blc: 54
Con: 92.6 Lib: 142.3 Ndp: 16.6 Blc: 55.4

SES Regional Dec. 11:

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	28.0	53.0	18.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	30.0	8.0	51.0
ON	36.0	47.0	13.0	0.0
West	44.0	33.0	17.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	27	2	0	3.7	26.7	1.6	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	13	0	62	0.2	14.7	0.0	60.1	0	21	0	54
ON	27	75	4	0	27.7	74.6	3.7	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	58	30	6	0	56.9	30.3	6.8	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	88	145	12	62	88.4	146.3	12.1	60.1	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 11, 2005

Ipsos Dec. 10
Con: 30.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 106 Lib: 114 Ndp: 23 Blc: 64
Con: 101.5 Lib: 116.6 Ndp: 26.6 Blc: 62.2

SES Dec. 10
Con: 32.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 14.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 100 Lib: 140 Ndp: 13 Blc: 54
Con: 96.0 Lib: 139.5 Ndp: 16.1 Blc: 55.4

SES Regional Dec. 10

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	30.0	53.0	15.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	32.0	7.0	51.0
ON	36.0	46.0	14.0	0.0
West	44.0	34.0	18.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	4	26	2	0	4.2	26.5	1.3	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.1	16.2	0.0	58.7	0	21	0	54
ON	29	73	4	0	29.4	72.1	4.5	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	56	32	6	0	55.4	31.4	7.1	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	89	147	12	59	89.1	146.2	12.9	58.7	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 10, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 9
Con: 28.0 Lib: 36.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 89 Lib: 130 Ndp: 26 Blc: 62
Con: 89.4 Lib: 131.0 Ndp: 25.6 Blc: 60.9

SES Dec. 9
Con: 30.0 Lib: 39.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 11.0
Con: 89 Lib: 154 Ndp: 14 Blc: 50
Con: 89.0 Lib: 150.3 Ndp: 18.8 Blc: 48.9

SES Regional Dec. 9

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	36.0	50.0	11.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	32.0	8.0	48.0
ON	32.0	48.0	16.0	0.0
West	41.0	34.0	21.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	24	1	0	6.7	24.2	1.1	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	19	0	56	0.3	18.6	0.0	56.1	0	21	0	54
ON	16	86	4	0	18.7	82.3	5.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	51	34	9	0	50.1	32.8	10.9	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	74	163	14	56	75.7	157.9	17.1	56.1	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 9, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 8
Con: 30.0 Lib: 36.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 103 Lib: 123 Ndp: 19 Blc: 62
Con: 96.9 Lib: 126.9 Ndp: 22.2 Blc: 60.9

SES Dec. 8
Con: 26.0 Lib: 41.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 11.0
Con: 67 Lib: 171 Ndp: 22 Blc: 47
Con: 69.4 Lib: 165.9 Ndp: 24.1 Blc: 47.5

SES Regional Dec. 8

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	30.0	55.0	10.0	0.0
PQ	9.0	32.0	7.0	50.0
ON	28.0	48.0	20.0	0.0
West	34.0	37.0	25.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	29	0	0	3.7	27.7	0.5	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.1	17.0	0.0	57.9	0	21	0	54
ON	11	87	8	0	12.7	85.7	7.6	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	40	42	12	0	38.5	40.7	14.6	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	54	174	20	59	55.1	171.2	22.7	57.9	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 8, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 7
Con: 29.0 Lib: 35.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 99 Lib: 122 Ndp: 27 Blc: 59
Con: 95.5 Lib: 126.6 Ndp: 26.1 Blc: 58.7

SES Dec. 7
Con: 26.0 Lib: 40.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 11.0
Con: 69 Lib: 163 Ndp: 25 Blc: 50
Con: 71.7 Lib: 161.3 Ndp: 25.5 Blc: 48.3

Decima Dec. 7
Con: 26.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 20.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 85 Lib: 120 Ndp: 38 Blc: 64
Con: 84.6 Lib: 121.2 Ndp: 38.7 Blc: 62.3

SES Regional Dec. 7

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	26.0	58.0	12.0	0.0
PQ	7.0	32.0	10.0	49.0
ON	28.0	47.0	19.0	0.0
West	36.0	35.0	24.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	2	30	0	0	2.1	29.4	0.5	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	18	0	57	0.1	17.8	0.0	57.1	0	21	0	54
ON	11	87	8	0	14.0	84.4	7.5	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	42	38	14	0	42.4	36.5	14.9	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	55	173	22	57	58.7	168.2	22.9	57.1	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 7, 2005

Strategic Vision Dec. 6
Con: 29.0 Lib: 35.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 99 Lib: 118 Ndp: 27 Blc: 63
Con: 95.5 Lib: 123.7 Ndp: 26.1 Blc: 61.6

SES Dec. 6
Con: 28.0 Lib: 40.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 11.0
Con: 75 Lib: 162 Ndp: 20 Blc: 50
Con: 78.5 Lib: 157.8 Ndp: 22.4 Blc: 48.2

SES Dec. 6 Regional

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	19.0	58.0	19.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	32.0	8.0	46.0
ON	28.0	48.0	19.0	0.0
West	42.0	34.0	21.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	0	31	1	0	0.9	29.9	1.2	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	21	0	54	0.4	20.2	0.0	54.4	0	21	0	54
ON	11	90	5	0	12.8	86.3	6.9	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	51	34	9	0	51.5	31.9	10.6	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	62	176	15	54	65.5	168.3	18.7	54.4	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 6, 2005

The new format, which started yesterday is poll, then seat projection, then seat projection probability.

Dec. 5 Strategic vision:
Con: 29.0 Lib: 35.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 99 Lib: 118 Ndp: 27 Blc: 63
Con: 95.5 Lib: 123.7 Ndp: 26.1 Blc: 61.6

Dec. 5 SES:
Con: 30.0 Lib: 38.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 95 Lib: 142 Ndp: 18 Blc: 52
Con: 91.0 Lib: 141.3 Ndp: 21.7 Blc: 53.0

Dec. 5 SES Regional:

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	23.0	54.0	18.0	0.0
PQ	10.0	31.0	7.0	47.0
ON	29.0	47.0	18.0	0.0
West	45.0	32.0	19.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	2	28	2	0	2.3	28.2	1.5	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	19	0	56	0.3	18.6	0.0	56.1	0	21	0	54
ON	12	89	5	0	15.5	83.7	6.8	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	61	27	6	0	58.6	27.0	8.4	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	75	163	13	56	76.7	157.5	16.7	56.1	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 5, 2005

SES Dec. 4
Con: 30.0 Lib: 37.0 Ndp: 16.0 Blc: 13.0
Con: 99 Lib: 132 Ndp: 19 Blc: 57
Con: 93.6 Lib: 133.4 Ndp: 22.9 Blc: 57.1

Strategic Vision Dec. 3
Con: 30.0 Lib: 34.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 14.0
Con: 102 Lib: 112 Ndp: 29 Blc: 64
Con: 100.7 Lib: 115.3 Ndp: 28.7 Blc: 62.2

SES Region Dec. 4
From now on with regional polls, I will post the poll results in a table, then a table with the projected results, projected probability, and last election's results.

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	21.0	50.0	21.0	0.0
PQ	12.0	30.0	6.0	49.0
ON	30.0	46.0	19.0	0.0
West	45.0	32.0	19.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	3	27	2	0	2.7	27.1	2.2	0.0	7	22	3	0
PQ	0	16	0	59	0.3	16.2	0.0	58.4	0	21	0	54
ON	16	82	8	0	18.3	79.6	8.0	0.0	24	75	7	0
West	61	27	6	0	58.6	27.0	8.4	0.0	68	17	9	0
All	80	152	16	59	80.0	149.9	18.6	58.4	99	135	19	54

Canada - December 4, 2005

SES Poll: C 29 L 38 N 15 B 14
Projects: C 90 L 148 N 16 B 54
Probability: C 89.1 L 142.7 N 20.5 B 55.7

No Strategic Vision update yet.

Canada - December 3, 2005

Decima Poll: C 31 L 33 N 17 B 14
Projects: C 110 L 110 N 27 B 61
Probability: C 107.7 L 111.5 N 29.1 B 59.5

Ekos Poll: C 27.4 L 34.1 N 18.4 B 14.0
Projects: C 93 L 121 N 35 B 59
Probability: C 91.5 N 123.8 N 33.8 B 58.8

Average of last four: C 29.9 L 34.5 N 16.4 B 14
Projects: C 103 L 121 N 25 B 59
Probability: C 100.7 L 122.0 N 26.9 B 58.4

Canada - December 2, 2005

Tracking polls have started, which should mean near daily updates here. I have made a new program that incorporates statistical probability, so I will post those numbers too. They will generally be similar to the other projection, but are a slightly better estimate of what will happen. It will sum to a little bit less than 308, due to small probabilities of independants in some seats, but it should be close to 308. I will also stop posting links now. Go to the Globe and Mail and SES sites if you like.

Strategic vision poll: C 30 L 35 N 16 B 14
Projects to: C 105 L 121 N 23 B 59
With probability: C 100.0 L 124.6 N 25.4 B 58.0

SES poll: C 31 L 36 N 14 B 14
Projects to: C 105 L 128 N 18 B 57
With probability: C 102.0 L 129.0 N 19.8 B 57.2

Average: C 30.5 L 35.5 N 15 B 14
Projects to: C 105 L 124 N 20 B 59
With probability: C 101.1 L 126.8 N 22.5 B 57.6

SES Regional (West of Ontario was grouped, I will have to update the software, totals use 2004 numbers):

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	7	23	2	0	5.5	24.3	2.1	0
PQ	0	12	0	63	0.1	13.2	0	61.7
ON	29	69	8	0	28.6	68.6	8.8	0
West
All	105	121	18	63