Tuesday, January 17, 2006

Canada - January 17, 2006

Strategic Vision Jan. 16
Con: 42.0 Lib: 24.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 12.0
Con: 174 Lib: 47 Ndp: 23 Blc: 64
Con: 171.4 Lib: 49.5 Ndp: 25.2 Blc: 61.8

SES Jan. 16
Con: 37.0 Lib: 30.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 10.0
Con: 137 Lib: 93 Ndp: 27 Blc: 51
Con: 137.2 Lib: 90.4 Ndp: 28.6 Blc: 51.8

SES Regional Jan. 16

Con Lib Ndp Blc
East 39.0 35.0 26.0 0.0
PQ 22.0 20.0 12.0 44.0
ON 38.0 34.0 23.0 0.0
West 45.0 30.0 19.0 0.0

Con Lib Ndp Blc Con Lib Ndp Blc Con Lib Ndp Blc
East 13 15 4 0 14.2 13.5 4.3 0.0 7 22 3 0
PQ 2 11 0 62 3.2 11.8 0.0 59.9 0 21 0 54
ON 49 38 19 0 51.9 37.1 17.0 0.0 24 75 7 0
West 63 26 6 0 61.5 24.1 9.4 0.0 68 17 9 0
All 127 90 29 62 130.8 86.5 30.7 59.9 99 135 19 54


Ekos Jan. 16
Con: 35.8 Lib: 29.6 Ndp: 19.4 Blc: 11.6
Con: 131 Lib: 84 Ndp: 35 Blc: 58
Con: 131.5 Lib: 85.7 Ndp: 33.0 Blc: 57.8

Ipsos Jan. 16
Con: 38.0 Lib: 26.0 Ndp: 19.0 Blc: 12.6
Con: 151 Lib: 62 Ndp: 31 Blc: 64
Con: 148.8 Lib: 63.8 Ndp: 32.5 Blc: 62.9

The Ipsos poll was of 8256 voters, which is a huge number. I would think it is an accurate poll. They say their seat model gives Con: 149-153 Lib: 64-68 Ndp: 29-33 Blc: 57-61. My understanding is it uses many regions, so it is likely relatively good.

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