Saskatchewan 2003 - Lucky Effect

In the 2003 Saskatchewan election, the NDP won 30 seats and the SKP won 28. But, the SKP was a bit lucky, they won the closest five seats. Applying my probabilty model, the seats should have been NDP 32, SKP 25.8, LIB 0.2. If there is no province-wide change in the percentages, that would be the expected results. Once polls come out, I will make new projections.

Micky