Canada - March 2, 2007

Finally an update on this page. I will try to update more often going forward. THere was an Angus Reid poll released yesterday, here are the projections. The format is the same as before. For national projections, the first line is the poll results, the second line is the seat projection, the third line is a better method based on assigning a probability for each seat. For regional projections, the first table is the poll results. The first few columns of the second table are the seat projections, next few are the seat projections with probability, and the next few are the results in the last election.

Angus-Reid, Feb. 27, national projection
Con: 40.0 Lib: 26.0 Ndp: 15.0 Blc: 10.0
Con: 150 Lib: 79 Ndp: 27 Blc: 51
Con: 150.3 Lib: 79.6 Ndp: 27.6 Blc: 49.6

Angus-Reid, Feb. 27, regional projection

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	33.0	34.0	23.0	0.0
PQ	22.0	22.0	8.0	38.0
ON	42.0	32.0	17.0	0.0
MB/SK	59.0	19.0	17.0	0.0
AB	68.0	15.0	9.0	0.0
BC	42.0	24.0	23.0	0.0

	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc	Con	Lib	Ndp	Blc
East	12	17	3	0	12.0	16.2	3.7	0.0	9	20	3	0
PQ	10	16	0	48	9.3	16.4	0.0	48.3	10	13	0	51
ON	61	30	15	0	62.8	30.8	12.5	0.0	40	54	12	0
MB/SK	24	2	2	0	24.1	1.7	2.2	0.0	20	5	3	0
AB	28	0	0	0	27.9	0.1	0.0	0.0	28	0	0	0
BC	25	6	8	0	24.4	7.3	7.3	0.0	17	11	11	0
All	160	71	28	48	160.5	72.5	25.8	48.3	124	103	29	51

Micky