Canada - January 8, 2006
SES Dec. 7
Con: 35.0 Lib: 32.0 Ndp: 17.0 Blc: 10.0
Con: 127 Lib: 104 Ndp: 25 Blc: 51
Con: 124.5 Lib: 105.4 Ndp: 26.6 Blc: 50.5
SES Regional Dec. 7
Con | Lib | Ndp | Blc | |
East | 30.0 | 47.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 |
PQ | 18.0 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 |
ON | 37.0 | 38.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 |
West | 47.0 | 26.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 |
Con | Lib | Ndp | Blc | Con | Lib | Ndp | Blc | Con | Lib | Ndp | Blc | |
East | 7 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 | 24.2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 7 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
PQ | 2 | 15 | 0 | 58 | 1.8 | 16.6 | 0.0 | 56.6 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 54 |
ON | 45 | 47 | 14 | 0 | 44.7 | 48.6 | 12.7 | 0.0 | 24 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
West | 71 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 67.0 | 16.7 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 68 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
All | 125 | 99 | 26 | 58 | 119.3 | 106.1 | 26.0 | 56.6 | 99 | 135 | 19 | 54 |
Ipsos Dec. 7
Con: 35.0 Lib: 31.0 Ndp: 18.0 Blc: 11.4
Con: 128 Lib: 95 Ndp: 29 Blc: 56
Con: 126.5 Lib: 95.7 Ndp: 29.6 Blc: 56.1
Ipsos says their seat projection model gives:
Con 129-133 Lib: 87-91 NDP: 27-31 Blc: 56-60
Since they have regional spilts, and didn't publish them, it is probable their model is better than mine. The results are relatively similar, except they flip about 4-5 liberal seats to the conservatives.
Ekos Dec. 5
Con: 36.0 Lib: 30.8 Ndp: 17.5 Blc: 10.6
Con: 134 Lib: 97 Ndp: 24 Blc: 53
Con: 131.6 Lib: 95.2 Ndp: 27.8 Blc: 53.4
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